Melissa Amaya vs Tina Black
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record15-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
64"Reach63"
116 lbsWeight116 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Melissa AmayaTina Black
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tina Black57%
Melissa Amaya 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tina Black a 57% favorite over Melissa Amaya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melissa Amaya's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1660), separated by just 2 points.
Melissa Amaya enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Tina Black enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Melissa Amaya finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tina Black 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.