Melissa Gatto vs Tracy Cortez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-2Record12-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
69"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
MSP· 1637 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Tracy Cortez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Melissa Gatto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1592
If they lose-12→ 1560
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-20→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Melissa GattoTracy Cortez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melissa Gatto60%
Tracy Cortez 40%Elo baseline: 36%
The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 60% favorite over Tracy Cortez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tracy Cortez's way (36%).
Tracy Cortez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1572, a 97-point edge.
Tracy Cortez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Melissa Gatto finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Cortez 17%.
Melissa Gatto carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.