Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Mullins vs Nora Cornolle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
138 lbsWeight139 lbs
Lions Gym CoventryTeamTeam Cornolle

What's at stake

Nora Cornolle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Melissa Mullins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Melissa MullinsNow 1594
If they win+18→ 1612
If they lose-14→ 1580
Nora CornolleNow 1631
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-18→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.73
50%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.04
53%
Strike defense
56%
2.03
Takedown avg.
0.22
43%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Melissa MullinsNora Cornolle
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (43%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Nora Cornolle51%
Melissa Mullins 49%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Nora Cornolle a 51% favorite over Melissa Mullins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Nora Cornolle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1594, a 37-point edge.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nora Cornolle enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Melissa Mullins finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Nora Cornolle 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.