Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record11-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Murtazali Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Melsik Baghdasaryan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1611
If they win+12→ 1728
If they lose-20→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Melsik BaghdasaryanMurtazali Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Murtazali Magomedov68%
Melsik Baghdasaryan 32%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Murtazali Magomedov a 68% favorite over Melsik Baghdasaryan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Murtazali Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1623, a 93-point edge.
Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Murtazali Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Melsik Baghdasaryan finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Murtazali Magomedov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.