Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Piotr Kacprzak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach76"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Melsik BaghdasaryanPiotr Kacprzak
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piotr Kacprzak52%
Melsik Baghdasaryan 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Piotr Kacprzak a 52% favorite over Melsik Baghdasaryan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melsik Baghdasaryan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.
Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Piotr Kacprzak enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Melsik Baghdasaryan finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Kacprzak 57%.
Piotr Kacprzak carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.