Michał Oleksiejczuk vs Shara Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamGOR MMA
What's at stake
Shara Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Michał Oleksiejczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1719
If they lose-10→ 1695
If they win+13→ 1778
If they lose-19→ 1746
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michał OleksiejczukShara Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shara Magomedov71%
Michał Oleksiejczuk 29%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Shara Magomedov a 71% favorite over Michał Oleksiejczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Shara Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1705, a 60-point edge.
Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michał Oleksiejczuk finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.
Michał Oleksiejczuk and Shara Magomedov share 2 common opponents: Marc-André Barriault and Michel Pereira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.