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Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Bisping vs Rashad Evans

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

30-9-0Record20-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
75″Reach75"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
HB UltimateTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rashad Evans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+10→ 1751
If they lose-14→ 1727
Rashad EvansNow 1672
If they win+14→ 1686
If they lose-10→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1747 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
38%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
65%
Strike defense
63%
1.05
Takedown avg.
2.98
43%
Takedown accuracy
45%
63%
Takedown defense
74%
0.32
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael BispingRashad Evans
170017502016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

18 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
2 (7%)
Submission
1 (5%)
10 (33%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Bisping53%
Rashad Evans 47%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 53% favorite over Rashad Evans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1672, a 69-point edge.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Bisping finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rashad Evans 45%.

Michael Bisping and Rashad Evans share 1 common opponent: Dan Henderson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDEC · 2016
Dan Henderson
WinDecision - Split · 2013