Michael Chandler vs Piero Guaylupo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record13-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamLos Perros Sarnosos
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1771 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael ChandlerPiero Guaylupo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chandler56%
Piero Guaylupo 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chandler a 56% favorite over Piero Guaylupo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Piero Guaylupo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.
Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Piero Guaylupo enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Michael Chandler finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Piero Guaylupo 85%.
Michael Chandler carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.