Michael Chandler vs Tofiq Musayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record24-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach69"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamOrion Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1772 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael ChandlerTofiq Musayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tofiq Musayev61%
Michael Chandler 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tofiq Musayev a 61% favorite over Michael Chandler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1734), separated by just 2 points.
Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tofiq Musayev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael Chandler finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 88%.
Michael Chandler and Tofiq Musayev share 1 common opponent: Sidney Outlaw.
Michael Chandler carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.