Michael Chiesa vs Roberto Soldić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
75"Reach73.6"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamUFD Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1769
If they lose-12→ 1745
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael ChiesaRoberto Soldić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chiesa62%
Roberto Soldić 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chiesa a 62% favorite over Roberto Soldić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1757 vs 1754), separated by just 3 points.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Roberto Soldić enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael Chiesa finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Soldić 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.