Michael Cyr vs Pedro Carvalho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record15-10-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71.5"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight165 lbs
Warrior CampTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael CyrPedro Carvalho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Carvalho66%
Michael Cyr 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Carvalho a 66% favorite over Michael Cyr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1602), separated by just 2 points.
Michael Cyr enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pedro Carvalho enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael Cyr finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Carvalho 60%.
Michael Cyr carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.