Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Morales vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

19-0-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
79"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Entram GymTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

Michael Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Trevin Giles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michael MoralesNow 1839
If they win+8→ 1847
If they lose-24→ 1815
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-8→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
49%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
53%
Strike defense
58%
1.09
Takedown avg.
1.07
42%
Takedown accuracy
50%
89%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Michael MoralesTrevin Giles
16501700175018001850202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (74%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (31%)
4 (21%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Morales92%
Trevin Giles 8%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 92% favorite over Trevin Giles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Michael Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1839 to 1662, a 177-point edge.

Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Michael Morales finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Michael Morales carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.