Michael Oliveira vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record12-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
78"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamShore MMA
What's at stake
Michael Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Oban Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1716
If they lose-27→ 1668
If they win+18→ 1668
If they lose-14→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael OliveiraOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Oliveira61%
Oban Elliott 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 61% favorite over Oban Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Michael Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1650, a 45-point edge.
Michael Oliveira enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Oban Elliott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Oliveira finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Michael Oliveira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.