Michael Oliveira vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
78"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Michael Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Oban Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-20→ 1700
If they win+20→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael OliveiraOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Oliveira80%
Oban Elliott 20%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 80% favorite over Oban Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Michael Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1634, a 86-point edge.
Michael Oliveira enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael Oliveira finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Michael Oliveira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.