Michael Page vs Sam Patterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-3-0Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamTeam Crossface
What's at stake
Michael Page is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Sam Patterson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1846
If they lose-15→ 1822
If they win+20→ 1766
If they lose-12→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael PageSam Patterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Page78%
Sam Patterson 22%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Page a 78% favorite over Sam Patterson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Michael Page holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1837 to 1746, a 91-point edge.
Michael Page enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Michael Page finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Sam Patterson 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.