Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Prazeres vs Shavkat Rakhmonov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

27-6-0Record19-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Coalizao Fight TeamTeamKazakhstan Top Team

What's at stake

Shavkat Rakhmonov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Michel Prazeres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michel PrazeresNow 1759
If they win+15→ 1774
If they lose-9→ 1750
Shavkat RakhmonovNow 1856
If they win+12→ 1868
If they lose-20→ 1836

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
47%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.17
58%
Strike defense
51%
3.94
Takedown avg.
1.40
36%
Takedown accuracy
26%
48%
Takedown defense
86%
0.61
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Michel PrazeresShavkat Rakhmonov
175018001850202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (4%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
11 (41%)
Submission
10 (53%)
15 (56%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Shavkat Rakhmonov78%
Michel Prazeres 22%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Shavkat Rakhmonov a 78% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Shavkat Rakhmonov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1759, a 97-point edge.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Michel Prazeres finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Shavkat Rakhmonov 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.