Combat Edge Intelligence

Mick Parkin vs Łukasz Brzeski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach78"
263 lbsWeight236 lbs
Unit 1 Martial Arts and FitnessTeamNKSW Holy Team

What's at stake

Mick Parkin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Łukasz Brzeski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mick ParkinNow 1707
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-23→ 1684
Łukasz BrzeskiNow 1534
If they win+23→ 1557
If they lose-9→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.91
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
53%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
58%
Strike defense
55%
1.49
Takedown avg.
0.43
42%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
37%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Mick ParkinŁukasz Brzeski
1550160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Mick Parkin87%
Łukasz Brzeski 13%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Mick Parkin a 87% favorite over Łukasz Brzeski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Mick Parkin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1534, a 173-point edge.

Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mick Parkin finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.