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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mickael Lebout vs Nicolae Bivol

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-12-2Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach72.4"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Obyfight· 1582 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFree Fight Academy· 1536 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mickael LeboutNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Nicolae BivolNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mickael LeboutNicolae Bivol
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
8 (35%)
Submission
3 (38%)
13 (57%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolae Bivol58%
Mickael Lebout 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolae Bivol a 58% favorite over Mickael Lebout in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mickael Lebout's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Mickael Lebout finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Bivol 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.