Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Graves vs Ronald Paradeiser

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-2Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
71" Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
American Top TeamTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1599 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike GravesNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Ronald ParadeiserNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
4.80
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.40
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mike GravesRonald Paradeiser
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
3 (27%)
Submission
3 (13%)
3 (27%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronald Paradeiser61%
Mike Graves 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Paradeiser a 61% favorite over Mike Graves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Graves's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1656), separated by just 1 points.

Ronald Paradeiser enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Graves finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Paradeiser 74%.

Mike Graves and Ronald Paradeiser share 1 common opponent: Bojan Veličković.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

DrawDraw (Majority) · 2016
Bojan Veličković
WinTKO (Leg Injury) · 2025