Mike Grundy vs Movsar Evloev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Kaobon WiganTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mike Grundy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1681
If they lose-8→ 1649
If they win+8→ 1869
If they lose-24→ 1837
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike GrundyMovsar Evloev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Movsar Evloev89%
Mike Grundy 11%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 89% favorite over Mike Grundy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1861 to 1657, a 204-point edge.
Mike Grundy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mike Grundy finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.