
Mike Pyle vs Ricardo Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Mike Pyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ricardo Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Almeida a 51% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Pyle's way (40%).
Mike Pyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1603, a 71-point edge.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mike Pyle finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.
Mike Pyle and Ricardo Almeida share 1 common opponent: Matt Brown.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.