Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Pyle vs Ricardo Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Pyle
us

Mike Pyle

“Quicksand”

27-14-1WelterweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

27-14-1Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Mike Pyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ricardo Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike PyleNow 1674
If they win+10→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1660
Ricardo AlmeidaNow 1603
If they win+19→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
61%
Strike defense
61%
1.80
Takedown avg.
3.74
36%
Takedown accuracy
38%
70%
Takedown defense
31%
1.54
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Mike PyleRicardo Almeida
1600165017002009201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (26%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
16 (59%)
Submission
5 (38%)
4 (15%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Almeida51%
Mike Pyle 49%Elo baseline: 40%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Almeida a 51% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Pyle's way (40%).

Mike Pyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1603, a 71-point edge.

Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mike Pyle finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.

Mike Pyle and Ricardo Almeida share 1 common opponent: Matt Brown.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2013
Matt Brown
WinSubmission · 2010