Combat Edge Intelligence

Miles Johns vs Tommy McMillen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record11-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'0"
66"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Marathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRed Hawk Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Miles JohnsNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702
Tommy McMillenNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
13.54
45%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
66%
Strike defense
60%
1.22
Takedown avg.
0
2%
Takedown accuracy
0%
78%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Miles JohnsTommy McMillen
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (13%)
Submission
5 (45%)
9 (56%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Miles Johns and Tommy McMillen within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1716), separated by just 2 points.

Tommy McMillen enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Miles Johns finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Tommy McMillen 91%.

Tommy McMillen carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.