Combat Edge Intelligence

Mingyang Zhang vs Wes Combs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mingyang Zhang
cn

Mingyang Zhang

“Mountain Tiger”

19-8-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1656Good
Wes Combs
us

Wes Combs

“Soldier”

20-6-0HeavyweightKOTC

1658Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record20-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight230 lbs
Qingdao Xinjiang International Fight ClubTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mingyang ZhangNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
Wes CombsNow 1658
If they win+12→ 1670
If they lose-12→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
60%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
43%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mingyang ZhangWes Combs
165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (68%)
KO/TKO
16 (80%)
6 (32%)
Submission
2 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Mingyang Zhang60%
Wes Combs 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mingyang Zhang a 60% favorite over Wes Combs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wes Combs's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1658), separated by just 2 points.

Mingyang Zhang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mingyang Zhang finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wes Combs 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.