Combat Edge Intelligence

Mirsad Bektić vs Ricardo Lamas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mirsad Bektić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mirsad BektićNow 1677
If they win+18→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1663
Ricardo LamasNow 1730
If they win+10→ 1740
If they lose-14→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
58%
Strike defense
58%
3.98
Takedown avg.
1.84
53%
Takedown accuracy
34%
92%
Takedown defense
47%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Mirsad BektićRicardo Lamas
17001750201820192020

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
3 (23%)
Submission
5 (25%)
4 (31%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lamas56%
Mirsad Bektić 44%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 56% favorite over Mirsad Bektić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1677, a 53-point edge.

Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mirsad Bektić finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.

Mirsad Bektić and Ricardo Lamas share 2 common opponents: Josh Emmett and Darren Elkins.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2017
Darren Elkins
WinTKO (punches and elbows) · 2018
LossTKO · 2019
Josh Emmett
LossKO/TKO · 2017