AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Mitch Gagnon vs Murad Kalamov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record20-9-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
65,5"Reach66.5"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Troop MMATeamBerkut FC· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mitch GagnonNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Murad KalamovNow 1632
If they win+12→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
1.16
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
66%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.93
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mitch GagnonMurad Kalamov
16502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
10 (83%)
Submission
9 (45%)
1 (8%)
Decision
10 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Murad Kalamov61%
Mitch Gagnon 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Murad Kalamov a 61% favorite over Mitch Gagnon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mitch Gagnon's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1632), separated by just 0 points.

Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mitch Gagnon finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Murad Kalamov 50%.

Murad Kalamov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.