Mitch Ramirez vs Naoyuki Kotani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record37-19-7
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamRodeo Style
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mitch RamirezNaoyuki Kotani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mitch Ramirez63%
Naoyuki Kotani 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Ramirez a 63% favorite over Naoyuki Kotani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Naoyuki Kotani's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.
Mitch Ramirez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Naoyuki Kotani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mitch Ramirez finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Naoyuki Kotani 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.