Mitch Raposo vs Umalat Israpilov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mitch Raposo59%
Umalat Israpilov 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Raposo a 59% favorite over Umalat Israpilov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1688), separated by just 0 points.
Mitch Raposo enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Umalat Israpilov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mitch Raposo finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Umalat Israpilov 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record19-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
64"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mitch RaposoUmalat Israpilov