Mitchell McKee vs Taylor Lapilus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mitchell McKee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 59% favorite over Mitchell McKee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1723, a 32-point edge.
Mitchell McKee enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Mitchell McKee finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.
Taylor Lapilus carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.