Combat Edge Intelligence

Mitchell McKee vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
66"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mitchell McKee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mitchell McKeeNow 1723
If they win+17→ 1740
If they lose-15→ 1708
Taylor LapilusNow 1755
If they win+15→ 1770
If they lose-17→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
Not available
Strike defense
63%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.27
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
77%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Mitchell McKeeTaylor Lapilus
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (24%)
5 (45%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Lapilus59%
Mitchell McKee 41%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 59% favorite over Mitchell McKee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1723, a 32-point edge.

Mitchell McKee enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Mitchell McKee finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Taylor Lapilus carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.