Mochamed Machaev vs Nariman Abbasov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record28-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
148 lbsWeight156 lbs
Gym 23TeamAzerbaijan Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mochamed MachaevNariman Abbasov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mochamed Machaev79%
Nariman Abbasov 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mochamed Machaev a 79% favorite over Nariman Abbasov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nariman Abbasov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1712), separated by just 3 points.
Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Nariman Abbasov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mochamed Machaev finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nariman Abbasov 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.