Mochamed Machaev vs Nasrat Haqparast
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
148 lbsWeight156 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mochamed MachaevNasrat Haqparast
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mochamed Machaev and Nasrat Haqparast within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1713), separated by just 1 points.
Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mochamed Machaev finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.