Modestas Bukauskas vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-7-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamRaty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1735
If they lose-13→ 1711
If they win+13→ 1703
If they lose-11→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Modestas BukauskasNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov56%
Modestas Bukauskas 44%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 56% favorite over Modestas Bukauskas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Modestas Bukauskas's way (45%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1690, a 34-point edge.
Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Modestas Bukauskas and Nikita Krylov share 1 common opponent: Paul Craig.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.