Modestas Bukauskas vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamRaty Team· 1668 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1718
If they lose-13→ 1694
If they win+13→ 1704
If they lose-11→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Modestas BukauskasNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas60%
Nikita Krylov 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 60% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1691, a 16-point edge.
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Modestas Bukauskas and Nikita Krylov share 1 common opponent: Paul Craig.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.