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Combat Edge Intelligence

Modestas Bukauskas vs Randy Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randy Couture
us

Randy Couture

“The Natural”

19-11-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record19-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight203 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Modestas BukauskasNow 1724
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Randy CoutureNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
2.85
43%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.53
51%
Strike defense
59%
0.23
Takedown avg.
2.78
0%
Takedown accuracy
47%
82%
Takedown defense
58%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Modestas BukauskasRandy Couture
165017001750200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
3 (14%)
Submission
4 (21%)
6 (29%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Couture53%
Modestas Bukauskas 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 53% favorite over Modestas Bukauskas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Modestas Bukauskas's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1720), separated by just 4 points.

Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Modestas Bukauskas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.

Modestas Bukauskas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.