Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo Bellato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-7-0Record13-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rodolfo Bellato carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1734
If they lose-14→ 1710
If they win+19→ 1672
If they lose-13→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Modestas BukauskasRodolfo Bellato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas69%
Rodolfo Bellato 31%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 69% favorite over Rodolfo Bellato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1653, a 71-point edge.
Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Modestas Bukauskas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.
Modestas Bukauskas and Rodolfo Bellato share 2 common opponents: Christian Edwards and Vitor Petrino.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.