Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo Bellato

May 16, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

DateMay 16, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 16, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Modestas BukauskasThe Baltic Gladiator |21-7-0Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo BellatoRodolfo BellatoTrator |13-4-1

Modestas BukauskasThe Baltic Gladiator21-7-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

21-7-0Record13-4-1

32Age30

6'3"Height6'3"

78"Reach77"

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Rodolfo BellatoTrator13-4-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Modestas Bukauskas owns a 71-point Elo edge (good). Rodolfo Bellato shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Modestas Bukauskas and Rodolfo Bellato across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Modestas BukauskasRodolfo Bellato

Recent form

Modestas BukauskasW W L W W · +35 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Rodolfo BellatoL W L D W · -1 Elo last 5

LWLDW

Elo edge

Modestas Bukauskas1724+14 last move

Rodolfo Bellato1653-25 last move

Why they are ranked here

Modestas Bukauskas#20 of 162 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1724 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Raffael Cerqueira (rated 1685 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Nikita Krylov (rated 1687 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +35 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #19 Khabib Nabiev, 1 ahead of #21 Phil Davis.

Rodolfo Bellato#62 of 162 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1653 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ihor Potieria (rated 1701 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Vitor Petrino (rated 1650 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 2 losses, -1 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #61 Preston LaGrange, 3 ahead of #63 Dauren Ermekov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Modestas BukauskasNow 1724 · #20 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1734

Loses by decision-14→ 1710

Rodolfo BellatoNow 1653 · #62 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1672

Loses by decision-13→ 1640

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Modestas BukauskasvsRodolfo Bellato

Takedown accuracy

0%vs6%

Takedown average

0.23vs1.38

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.14vs5.37

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.86vs5.86

Finishing profile

Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Rodolfo BellatoKO/TKO leads 62% of wins

Common opponents

Christian Edwards Modestas Bukauskas: win · Decision (Split) · May 16, 2026 Rodolfo Bellato: loss · TKO (Punches) · Sep 26, 2026

Paul Craig Modestas Bukauskas: win · KO (elbow) · Sep 6, 2025 Rodolfo Bellato: no contest · No Contest (accidental illegal upkick) · Jun 14, 2025

Paul Craig Modestas Bukauskas: win · KO (elbow) · Sep 6, 2025Rodolfo Bellato: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · May 17, 2025

Tale of the tape

Modestas BukauskasRodolfo Bellato

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.14Sig. strikes landed per min5.37

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

43Sig. strike accuracy60

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

3.86Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.86

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

51Sig. strike defense47

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

0.23Takedown average1.38

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

0Takedown accuracy6

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

82Takedown defense94

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0.11Submission average0.23

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

12Wins by knockout8

3Wins by submission4

6Wins by decision1

5Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision1

Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo Bellato is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS COSTA. Modestas Bukauskas enters with a 21-7-0 record and Rodolfo Bellato enters with a 13-4-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.