Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammad Yahya vs Trevor Peek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73"Reach 70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TK MMA & FitnessTeamAgoge Combatives

What's at stake

Trevor Peek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mohammad Yahya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mohammad YahyaNow 1565
If they win+19→ 1584
If they lose-13→ 1552
Trevor PeekNow 1633
If they win+13→ 1646
If they lose-19→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
40%
Strike accuracy
54%
6.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
43%
Strike defense
44%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.45
20%
Takedown accuracy
50%
43%
Takedown defense
53%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mohammad YahyaTrevor Peek
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
2 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mohammad Yahya and Trevor Peek within a point of even.

Trevor Peek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1565, a 68-point edge.

Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Trevor Peek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mohammad Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.

Mohammad Yahya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.