Mohammed Usman vs Zach Nishimwe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
79"Reach-
237 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mohammed UsmanZach Nishimwe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Nishimwe62%
Mohammed Usman 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Nishimwe a 62% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mohammed Usman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1612), separated by just 2 points.
Zach Nishimwe enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mohammed Usman finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Zach Nishimwe 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.