Combat Edge Intelligence

Montana De La Rosa vs Nadia Kassem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record5-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach38.50
125 lbsWeight120 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAustralian Top Team

What's at stake

Montana De La Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Nadia Kassem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Montana De La RosaNow 1582
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-20→ 1562
Nadia KassemNow 1484
If they win+31→ 1515
If they lose-17→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
37%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.48
45%
Strike defense
49%
1.85
Takedown avg.
0.46
33%
Takedown accuracy
33%
68%
Takedown defense
40%
0.82
Submission avg.
2.76

Trajectory

Montana De La RosaNadia Kassem
1500155016002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
8 (62%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Montana De La Rosa57%
Nadia Kassem 43%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Montana De La Rosa a 57% favorite over Nadia Kassem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Montana De La Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1484, a 98-point edge.

Nadia Kassem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Montana De La Rosa finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Nadia Kassem 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.