Montana De La Rosa vs Paige VanZant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-10-1Record8-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
68"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamGracie Barra Portland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Montana De La RosaPaige VanZant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Montana De La Rosa53%
Paige VanZant 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Montana De La Rosa a 53% favorite over Paige VanZant in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paige VanZant's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1574), separated by just 3 points.
Montana De La Rosa finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Paige VanZant 63%.
Montana De La Rosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.