Combat Edge Intelligence

Morgan Charrière vs Nate Landwehr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-12-1Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Chapa QuenteTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Morgan CharrièreNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Nate LandwehrNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
5.63
50%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
54%
Strike defense
52%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.76
47%
Takedown accuracy
42%
83%
Takedown defense
72%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Morgan CharrièreNate Landwehr
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (62%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
3 (14%)
Submission
2 (11%)
5 (24%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Morgan Charrière60%
Nate Landwehr 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Charrière a 60% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1640), separated by just 4 points.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Morgan Charrière finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.

Nate Landwehr carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.