Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda vs Osama Elsaidy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA Jeddah ClubTeamWarlions MMA Academy
What's at stake
Osama Elsaidy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1607
If they lose-15→ 1575
If they win+15→ 1628
If they lose-17→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mostafa Abada Rashed NedaOsama Elsaidy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Osama Elsaidy63%
Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda 37%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Osama Elsaidy a 63% favorite over Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Osama Elsaidy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1590, a 23-point edge.
Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Osama Elsaidy 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.