Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda vs Osama Elsaidy
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda and Osama Elsaidy within a point of even.
Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1593, a 26-point edge.
Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Osama Elsaidy 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Osama Elsaidy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1634
If they lose-17→ 1602
If they win+17→ 1610
If they lose-15→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mostafa Abada Rashed NedaOsama Elsaidy