Combat Edge Intelligence

Movlid Khaybulaev vs Movsar Evloev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-0-1Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Nights TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Movlid Khaybulaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Movlid KhaybulaevNow 1840
If they win+13→ 1853
If they lose-11→ 1829
Movsar EvloevNow 1861
If they win+15→ 1876
If they lose-17→ 1844

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.91
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
Not available
Strike defense
61%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.78
Not available
Takedown accuracy
5%
Not available
Takedown defense
61%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Movlid KhaybulaevMovsar Evloev
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
4 (17%)
Submission
4 (20%)
14 (58%)
Decision
13 (65%)

Combat Edge model read

Movsar Evloev68%
Movlid Khaybulaev 32%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 68% favorite over Movlid Khaybulaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1861 to 1840, a 21-point edge.

Movlid Khaybulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Movlid Khaybulaev finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.

Movsar Evloev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.