Movlid Khaybulaev vs Movsar Evloev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-0-1Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Nights TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Movlid Khaybulaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1853
If they lose-11→ 1829
If they win+15→ 1870
If they lose-17→ 1838
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Movlid KhaybulaevMovsar Evloev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Movsar Evloev70%
Movlid Khaybulaev 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 70% favorite over Movlid Khaybulaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1840, a 15-point edge.
Movlid Khaybulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Movlid Khaybulaev finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.
Movsar Evloev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.