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Combat Edge Intelligence

Movsar Ibragimov vs Santiago Luna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach74"
140 lbsWeight145 lbs
La CageTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Movsar IbragimovNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Santiago LunaNow 1661
If they win+24→ 1685
If they lose-24→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
8.20
Not available
Strike accuracy
55%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
Not available
Strike defense
72%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.21
Not available
Takedown accuracy
83%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Movsar IbragimovSantiago Luna
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (50%)
Submission
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Luna63%
Movsar Ibragimov 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Luna a 63% favorite over Movsar Ibragimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Movsar Ibragimov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Movsar Ibragimov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Luna 88%.

Santiago Luna carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.