Muhammad Mokaev vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-0-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
KHK MMA Team· 1681 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Muhammad Mokaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1814
If they lose-23→ 1782
If they win+17→ 1662
If they lose-7→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muhammad MokaevTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev92%
Tim Elliott 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 92% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Muhammad Mokaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1645, a 160-point edge.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Muhammad Mokaev finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.
Muhammad Mokaev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.