Combat Edge Intelligence

Muhammad Naimov vs Ricky Calatayud

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record16-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight140 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeam10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Muhammad NaimovNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Ricky CalatayudNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
0
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
1.69
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Muhammad NaimovRicky Calatayud
165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
2 (15%)
Submission
8 (53%)
5 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Naimov70%
Ricky Calatayud 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Naimov a 70% favorite over Ricky Calatayud in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1679), separated by just 0 points.

Ricky Calatayud enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Muhammad Naimov finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Calatayud 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.