Muhammad Saidov vs Rob Wilkinson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record20-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
73"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1706 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamHybrid Training Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Muhammad SaidovRob Wilkinson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rob Wilkinson66%
Muhammad Saidov 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Rob Wilkinson a 66% favorite over Muhammad Saidov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muhammad Saidov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1707), separated by just 6 points.
Muhammad Saidov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Muhammad Saidov finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Rob Wilkinson 90%.
Rob Wilkinson carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.