Combat Edge Intelligence

Muhammad Saidov vs Rob Wilkinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record20-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
73"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamHybrid Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Muhammad SaidovNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696
Rob WilkinsonNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.66
TBD
Strike defense
39%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Muhammad SaidovRob Wilkinson
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
2 (20%)
Submission
7 (35%)
1 (10%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Saidov60%
Rob Wilkinson 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Saidov a 60% favorite over Rob Wilkinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1708), separated by just 4 points.

Muhammad Saidov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Muhammad Saidov finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Rob Wilkinson 90%.

Rob Wilkinson carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.