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Combat Edge Intelligence

Murtazali Magomedov vs Timur Valiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight138 lbs
TeamDagFighter· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Murtazali MagomedovNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Timur ValievNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.83
Sig. strikes / min
5.19
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
81%
Strike defense
45%
5.17
Takedown avg.
1.73
0%
Takedown accuracy
27%
0%
Takedown defense
56%
5.17
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Murtazali MagomedovTimur Valiev
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
6 (55%)
Submission
3 (15%)
0 (0%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Murtazali Magomedov52%
Timur Valiev 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Murtazali Magomedov a 52% favorite over Timur Valiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1713), separated by just 1 points.

Murtazali Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Murtazali Magomedov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 40%.

Murtazali Magomedov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.