Muslim Salikhov vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record30-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70″Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Muslim Salikhov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Santiago Ponzinibbio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-14→ 1730
If they win+14→ 1712
If they lose-10→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muslim SalikhovSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muslim Salikhov56%
Santiago Ponzinibbio 44%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Salikhov a 56% favorite over Santiago Ponzinibbio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Muslim Salikhov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1698, a 46-point edge.
Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Muslim Salikhov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Muslim Salikhov and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Jingliang Li.
Santiago Ponzinibbio carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.