Muslim Salikhov vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record30-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70″Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Muslim Salikhov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Santiago Ponzinibbio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1741
If they lose-13→ 1717
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-11→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1706 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Muslim SalikhovSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Santiago Ponzinibbio55%
Muslim Salikhov 45%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 55% favorite over Muslim Salikhov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muslim Salikhov's way (45%).
Muslim Salikhov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1698, a 32-point edge.
Muslim Salikhov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Muslim Salikhov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Muslim Salikhov and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Jingliang Li.
Santiago Ponzinibbio carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.