Muslim Tulshaev vs Sergio Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
78.7"Reach72,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1609 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamBrazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Muslim TulshaevSergio Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muslim Tulshaev53%
Sergio Moraes 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Tulshaev a 53% favorite over Sergio Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1641), separated by just 3 points.
Sergio Moraes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Muslim Tulshaev finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Moraes 64%.
Muslim Tulshaev carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.