Mustafa Ashurzoda vs Rodrigo Ruiz
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mustafa Ashurzoda52%
Rodrigo Ruiz 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mustafa Ashurzoda a 52% favorite over Rodrigo Ruiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1501), separated by just 1 points.
Mustafa Ashurzoda finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record0-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'6"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
TeamOlimpo Lycans
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mustafa AshurzodaRodrigo Ruiz