Myktybek Orolbai vs Paul Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-1Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight159 lbs
Uluu KyrgyzTeamFight Academy Ireland· 1590 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Myktybek OrolbaiPaul Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai71%
Paul Hughes 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 71% favorite over Paul Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1713), separated by just 1 points.
Myktybek Orolbai finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Paul Hughes 71%.
Myktybek Orolbai carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.