Combat Edge Intelligence

Nad Narimani vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
40,5"Reach72"
150 lbsWeight156 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nad Narimani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nad NarimaniNow 1651
If they win+19→ 1670
If they lose-13→ 1638
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1713
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
6.36
43%
Strike accuracy
46%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6
59%
Strike defense
63%
1.92
Takedown avg.
0.34
41%
Takedown accuracy
5%
70%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nad NarimaniNasrat Haqparast
16501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
5 (42%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (42%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nasrat Haqparast79%
Nad Narimani 21%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 79% favorite over Nad Narimani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1651, a 62-point edge.

Nad Narimani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nad Narimani finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.